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The Rand report on the Ukraine war

One of the most important “think tanks” for US government policy is the Rand Corporation, which employs experts on world affairs on behalf of the New World Order in the USA.

On January 25, 2022, the Rand Corporation issued a 4-page report, detailing how Germany was becoming too competitive.

https://disk.yandex.com/d/jxD85BQemPfz1A"

Their solution was to provoke Russia into attacking Ukraine and then lure Germany into supporting that war on the side of Ukraine. Why? It was not really to help Ukraine but to destroy German industry in order to benefit the USA. The report was addressed to and sent to the Department of State, CIA, NSA, and the DNC (Democratic National Committee).

I am thankful to Natali and Clayton Morris, who have a YouTube news channel called Redacted. They discussed the Rand Corporation’s “Executive Summary” here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXP9inU3AG4&t=214s

The report’s first section begins this way:

Weakening Germany, strengthening the U.S.

The present state of the U.S. economy does not suggest that it can function without financial and material support from external sources. The quantitative easing policy, which the Fed has resorted to regularly in recent years, as well as the uncontrolled issue of cash during the 2020 and 2021 Covid lockdowns, have led to a sharp increase in the external debt and an increase in the dollar supply.

The continuing deterioration of the economic situation is highly likely to lead to a loss in the position of the Democratic Party in Congress and the Senate in the forthcoming elections to be held in November 2022. The impeachment of the President cannot be ruled out under these circumstances, which must be avoided at all costs.

This tells us that the Rand study was to address the “deterioration of the economic situation,” which was of great concern, because it was likely to lead to the loss of political power for the Democratic Party and perhaps the impeachment of Biden. The solution, they said, was to strengthen the U.S. at the expense of Germany. That is what this article is about.

There is an urgent need for resources to flow into the [U.S.] national economy, especially the banking system.

In other words, the U.S. has an urgent liquidity problem in the “banking system.” This urgency is so great that it must be resolved by provoking a war in Ukraine so that Germany will be weakened.

The major obstacle to it is growing independence of Germany. Although it still is a country with limited sovereignty, for decades it has been consistently moving toward lifting these limitations and becoming a fully independent state. This movement is slow and cautious, but steady… However, if social and economic problems in the United States escalate, the pace could accelerate significantly.

How many Germans know that their country is “a country with limited sovereignty”? This is a condition left over after World War 2, when Germany’s economy was destroyed. In fact, this suggests that the first two world wars were fomented to destroy Germany as well and that the Rand Corporation is again suggesting another war for the same purpose. Historians have focused on all of the surface reasons for these wars, but they have not recorded the real reasons.

The problem today is that Germany has again reached a level of economic (therefore political) power and “independence” that reduces the profits of major U.S. corporations. The Rand’s think tank sees this as a reason to weaken Germany.

An additional factor to Germany’s economic independence is Brexit. With the withdrawal of the UK from the EU structures, we have lost a meaningful opportunity to influence the negotiation of crossgovernmental decisions.

It is fear of our negative response which by and large determines the relatively slow speed of those changes.

When the UK withdrew from the EU, the US lost influence in Europe (including Germany). The report implies that the US used the UK as its voice in European affairs. Brexit reduced this influence. Also, our influence was largely based on a “fear of our negative response.” Europe has feared what the US response would be if it decided on various courses of action. The Rand report says that this fear is what has slowed the “speed of those changes.” What changes? Specifically, the move toward German independence and economic security.

If one day we abandon Europe, there will be a good chance for Germany and France to get to a full political consensus… If implemented, this scenario will eventually turn Europe into not only an economic, but also a political competitor to the United States.

Here is the crux of the problem, according to the Rand report. The US must figure out a way to maintain its power over the European countries. If France and Germany unite in “a full political consensus,” Europe itself will become an economic and “political competitor to the United States.”

In a free world, everyone is free to do their best, and success is based on this. But we do not live in a free world, in spite of the propaganda. It is based on power and fear of the bigger animals. This is the real world situation, and we need to understand this.

With this perspective as the setup, we can then understand the thinking of hardball politics that is now being conducted against the EU and specifically against Germany.

Page 2 of the Rand Study

The Rand study then shows how the resources flow from Germany to the U.S. In other words, this is how we can solve our liquidity problems and perhaps save the banking system. We must make sure that a lot of money flows from the EU to the US economy.

Vulnerabilities in German and EU Economy

An increase in the flow of resources from Europe to U.S. can be expected if Germany begins to experience a controlled economic crisis.

This opening statement recommends “a controlled economic crisis.” Who would control this? Well, the U.S. government, of course. It is directed primarily at Germany, but also the EU in general. Its purpose is to increase “the flow of resources from Europe to U.S.” But how might this be done?

The current German economic model is based on two pillars. These are unlimited access to cheap Russian energy resources and to cheap French electric power, thanks to the operation of nuclear power plants. The importance of the first factor is considerably higher. Halting Russian supplies can well create a systemic crisis that would be devastating for the Germany economy and, indirectly, for the entire European Union.

Here is a succinct recommendation about how to destroy the Germany economy. All they had to do was to figure out a way to halt the supply of “cheap Russian energy resources” and to follow up by limiting or stopping the purchase of electric power from French nuclear power plants.

May I remind you that the Rand report was published on January 25, about a month before the Russians moved in to protect the Donbas area from the Ukrainian assault on its cities. No doubt the think tank had taken Putin’s warnings seriously for the previous 8 years and knew that he could be provoked by continuing their plan to make Ukraine part of NATO. Putin was also serious about protecting ethnic Russians living in the eastern part of the Ukraine.

Yet the point is that in spite of these important surface reasons, the background story is that the US government needed to provoke Russia into halting cheap energy supplies to German industry. This would “create a systemic crisis that would be devastating for the German economy.”

That, of course, was the goal, and the Ukraine war is the means toward that end. Russia tried hard to continue supplying oil and gas to Germany, but finally the supply from the over-land route of Nord Stream 1 was halted completely on September 2, 2022.

A Controlled Crisis

Due to coalition constraints, the German leadership is not in full control of the situation in the country. Thanks to our precise actions, it has been possible to block the commissioning of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, despite of the opposition of lobbyists from the steel and chemical industries.

The report asserts that blocking Nord Stream 2 (the sea route pipeline from Russia to Germany) was blocked, “thanks to our precise actions.” In other words, blocking this pipeline served US interests, not the interests of German industry.

Then we are given the most dramatic assertion of all:

The only feasible way to guarantee Germany’s rejection of Russian energy supplies is to involve both sides in the military conflict in Ukraine. Our further actions in this country will inevitably lead to a military response from Russia. Russia will obviously not be able to leave unanswered the massive Ukrainian army pressure on the unrecognized Donbas republics. That would make possible to declare Russia an aggressor and apply to it the entire package of sanctions prepared beforehand.

So the plan was to involve Germany and Russia in a military conflict in Ukraine. “Our further actions” (i.e., coming from the US) would make it impossible for Russia to stay out of Ukraine. That is, the US told the Ukrainians to shell cities in the Donbas, killing as many ethnic Russians as it might take to provoke Russia into taking a defensive action. That tactic worked very well, and this made it possible “to declare Russia an aggressor” and then impose “sanctions prepared beforehand.”

Are you starting to get the picture? As the header said, it was “A Controlled Crisis.” Things did not spin out of control. The US government knew exactly what it was doing, and the purpose was not to defend Ukraine. It was to destroy German industry in order to benefit US corporations and banks.

The prerequisite for Germany to fall into this trap is the leading role of green parties and ideology in Europe. The German Greens are strongly dogmatic, if not zealous, movement, which makes it quite easy to make them ignore economic arguments.

The Green party currently controls the Germany government. The Rand study notes that they are “strongly dogmatic” in their ideology, making it easier to shut down the economy. As with the Green New Deal here in America, they intend to “save the planet” from “global warming” by stopping the use of oil and gas.

The problem is that they have no way to replace the need without destroying the entire economy of countries. Economies run on energy, and there is no way to harness enough wind and solar energy to replace oil and gas. Even if successful, it would take many years to do so. Meanwhile, economies cannot wait for years.

For this reason, the Green Party in America will never come to full power, because the purpose of this controlled crisis is to let Germany destroy itself—for the benefit of the US economy. Hence, most of what we see here is designed to make it appear that we are cooperating in saving the planet from global warming, while giving enough lip service to that cause to convince the German government to destroy itself first.

Thus, it will be enough to quickly form the media image of Putin’s aggressive war to turn the Greens into ardent and hardline supporters of sanctions, a “party of war.” It will enable the sanctions regime to be introduced without any obstacles. The lack of professionalism of the current leaders will not allow a setback in the future, even when the negative impact of the chosen policy becomes obvious enough.

The Rand Corporation’s think tank understands that the Green Party’s policies are stupid. They know that European leadership has a “lack of professionalism” that won’t allow them to admit being wrong even when “the chosen policy becomes obvious enough.”

The think tank, however, also contemplates the day when Germany is forced to admit that it was duped into destroying itself. At that point, other political parties will take power.

However, even when the SPD and the FDP are ready to go against the Greens, the possibility for the next government to return relations with Russia to normal soon enough will be noticeably limited. Germany’s involvement in large supplies of weapons and military equipment to the Ukrainian army will inevitably generate a strong mistrust in Russia, which will make the negotiation process quite lengthy.

They explain that they will insist on war crimes tribunals against Russia, which will be used to slow down the negotiations to normalize German relations with Russia.

Page 3 of the Rand Study

Here we find the think tank’s analysis of the long-term future.

Expected Consequences

A reduction in Russian energy supplies—ideally, a complete half of such supplies—would lead to disastrous outcomes for Germany industry. The need to divert significant amounts of Russian gas for winter heating of residential and public facilities will further exacerbate the shortages…. It could lead to the shutting down of continuous-cycle enterprises, which would mean their destruction.

The “sanctions prepared beforehand” were designed to produce “disastrous outcomes for German industry.” The Rand study recommends this course of action to the US government and its intelligence agencies. The destruction of Germany is the underlying reason and purpose for this course of action.

The cumulative losses of the German economy can be estimated only approximately. Even if the restriction of Russian supplies is limited to 2022, its consequences will last for several years, and the total losses could reach 200-300 billion euros. Not only will it deliver a devastating blow to the German economy, but the entire EU economy will inevitably collapse.

The euro will inevitably, and most likely irreversibly, fall below the dollar. A sharp fall of the euro will consequently cause its global sale. It will become a toxic currency, and all countries in the world will rapidly reduce its share in their forex reserves. This gap will be primarily filled with dollar and yuan.

Remember that this was published on January 25, 2022. Recently, the euro has dipped in price below the dollar. So far, this forecast has been accurate. The US dollar has strengthened, even in the face of a huge increase in the amount of new dollars being created by the Fed.

Another inevitable consequence of a prolonged economic recession will be a sharp drop in living standards and rising unemployment (up to 200,000-400,000 in Germany alone), which will entail the exodus of skilled labour and well-educated young people. There are literally no other destinations for such migration other than the United States today…

In the medium term (4-5 years), the cumulative benefits of capital flight, re-oriented logistical flows and reduced competition in major industries may amount of USD 7-9 trillion.

So the benefits of the Ukrainian war is that many skilled and well-educated Germans will migrate to the US and thereby strengthen our economy while Germany and Europe as a whole languishes in recession for the next 4-5 years. The estimate is that the US economy will siphon off about 7-9 trillion dollars from Europe, making the Ukrainian war a smashing success!

How does this plan make you feel about the November elections?